Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 8.338518e-05 0.000099 0.000116 0.000136 0.000157 0.000180 0.000206
2025-01-12 5.953364e-05 0.000080 0.000103 0.000132 0.000165 0.000202 0.000247
2025-01-19 5.056368e-05 0.000073 0.000100 0.000135 0.000177 0.000225 0.000284
2025-01-26 3.900124e-05 0.000062 0.000091 0.000130 0.000178 0.000236 0.000308
2025-02-02 3.301684e-05 0.000057 0.000088 0.000131 0.000186 0.000252 0.000336
2025-02-09 2.719550e-05 0.000051 0.000083 0.000130 0.000190 0.000265 0.000362
2025-02-16 2.452385e-05 0.000049 0.000084 0.000134 0.000202 0.000287 0.000398
2025-02-23 2.110816e-05 0.000045 0.000082 0.000136 0.000209 0.000303 0.000427
2025-03-02 1.667735e-05 0.000040 0.000075 0.000130 0.000207 0.000307 0.000441
2025-03-09 1.363513e-05 0.000035 0.000071 0.000128 0.000209 0.000316 0.000460
2025-03-16 1.140724e-05 0.000033 0.000069 0.000127 0.000213 0.000327 0.000483
2025-03-23 9.781002e-06 0.000030 0.000067 0.000128 0.000219 0.000340 0.000509
2025-03-30 7.745605e-06 0.000027 0.000064 0.000127 0.000222 0.000352 0.000533
2025-04-06 5.751437e-06 0.000024 0.000059 0.000123 0.000222 0.000358 0.000551
2025-04-13 4.943543e-06 0.000022 0.000059 0.000126 0.000232 0.000378 0.000588
2025-04-20 3.474264e-06 0.000019 0.000055 0.000122 0.000229 0.000382 0.000602
2025-04-27 2.761805e-06 0.000018 0.000053 0.000122 0.000235 0.000396 0.000631
2025-05-04 2.055119e-06 0.000016 0.000051 0.000121 0.000238 0.000407 0.000654
2025-05-11 1.809018e-06 0.000016 0.000052 0.000126 0.000250 0.000430 0.000696
2025-05-18 1.416766e-06 0.000014 0.000051 0.000127 0.000256 0.000446 0.000726
2025-05-25 8.640487e-07 0.000012 0.000047 0.000122 0.000252 0.000447 0.000737
2025-06-01 5.536189e-07 0.000011 0.000044 0.000120 0.000253 0.000454 0.000756
2025-06-08 3.609847e-07 0.000010 0.000043 0.000119 0.000256 0.000465 0.000780